Policy Briefs
B. Rosa, L. Caracciolo – EUROPE IN THE BREXIT & TRUMP ERA: DIS-INTEGRATION AND RE-GROUPING
Europe borders with Chaosland, a part of the world overwhelmed by great instability factors; war, terrorism, widespread poverty, environmental turmoil caused by climate change, mass migration, failing States.
From an environmental perspective, Chaosland is mostly set in the tropical crisis belt, where the impact of rising temperatures is more marked. According to some scenarios, climate change could lead millions of people (already affected by poverty and war) to abandon their homes. Many of them, will aim for Europe.
Failing states surrounding Europe, and demographic decline compared to a widespread rise in the world’s population, with the tendency to gather in megalopolises, make Europe unfit to fight in the coming decades. On the eastern front, Europe is up against two unstable, intrinsically revisionist powers: Russia and Turkey.